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Somebody Pulled a Fast One!

 
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shreddbob



Joined: 31 Mar 1987
Posts: 361
Location: Hawaii

PostPosted: Mon Apr 04, 2016 6:36 pm    Post subject: Somebody Pulled a Fast One! Reply with quote

Check out the long range NWS forcasts for April. The first one was put out March 17...then they updated it the 31st and all is lost. Yikes. Unusual for such a big shift in outlook I think.


April Outlook from 3-17.jpg
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April Outlook from 3-17.jpg



April Outlook from 3-31.jpg
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April Outlook from 3-31.jpg


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Derikthin



Joined: 22 Mar 2016
Posts: 141
Location: Highland Park NJ

PostPosted: Mon Apr 04, 2016 7:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm not 100% on what I'm seeing here. Is that a wind outlook and now we are not going to be graced with said wind? Or is that heat?
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motogon



Joined: 19 Aug 2000
Posts: 376
Location: Philly

PostPosted: Mon Apr 04, 2016 8:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

IMOH: weather forecast for more then week ahead is BS. Pure speculation.
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shreddbob



Joined: 31 Mar 1987
Posts: 361
Location: Hawaii

PostPosted: Tue Apr 05, 2016 1:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Derikthin wrote:
I'm not 100% on what I'm seeing here. Is that a wind outlook and now we are not going to be graced with said wind? Or is that heat?


This is the long range temperature probability outlook for April. The colors tell you if it is expected to be warmer or colder than "normal" on average for the month. The darker reds are very much warmer. The darker blues are very much cooler, and there are gradations in between. No color means equal chance of a bit warmer or a bit cooler...basically close to average for the time of year.

More info at this link:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/30day/

The first look at the long range temp & precip forecast for an upcoming month is available at the above link around the 3rd Thursday of the preceding month.
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jpeter



Joined: 18 Oct 2009
Posts: 353

PostPosted: Tue Apr 05, 2016 6:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Seems like warm winter usually equals cool spring.

I used to look at these NOAA maps before each ski season. We got 600 inches of snow during one "Below average" year. I stopped looking after that.

JP
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shreddbob



Joined: 31 Mar 1987
Posts: 361
Location: Hawaii

PostPosted: Tue Apr 05, 2016 1:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I just want to know when I can put the snow blower away Confused

JPeter you may be right on the warm winter equals cold spring and visa versa. Last year's record cold snowy Boston winter did not require snow blowing in April...or maybe I helped a bit due to me having that thing gassed up and ready into June!
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joethewindsufa



Joined: 10 Oct 2010
Posts: 1190
Location: Montréal

PostPosted: Tue Apr 05, 2016 5:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

and now we know why Canada is called the Great White North !! Very Happy
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rollerrider



Joined: 17 May 2003
Posts: 100

PostPosted: Wed Apr 06, 2016 8:58 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm no weather expert even though I keep track of it constantly, but as far as temperature goes I know that the annual averages usually stay about the same, at least where I live. So if there is a long period of above average temp like we had all winter the pendulum is gonna swing the other way and we are in for a cool summer. What does this mean for windsurfing? I don't really know but here around lake Erie a crappy summer usually means great windsurfing.
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WaterKook



Joined: 10 Apr 2000
Posts: 1713
Location: The Dude abides!!!!!

PostPosted: Wed Apr 06, 2016 3:39 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Everyone gets equal temperatures in Canada. Very Happy
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shreddbob



Joined: 31 Mar 1987
Posts: 361
Location: Hawaii

PostPosted: Wed Apr 06, 2016 10:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Isn't it always cold up in the Great White North?...our jet stream comes from there when we get cold in New England Wink
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