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real-human
Joined: 02 Jul 2011
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 Posted: Wed Jun 06, 2018 1:30 pm Post subject: |
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wow by 20 points in a place trump won before....
who would have imagined...
http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/gop-consultant-every-suburban-republican-should-be-petrified-tonight?cid=eml_mra_20180606
GOP consultant: ‘Every suburban Republican should be petrified tonight’
06/06/18 08:42 AM
By Steve Benen
| Quote: | There were important primaries in eight states yesterday, but as it turns out, one of the more surprising results of the night came in Missouri – which didn’t hold any primaries at all.
Because in the Show Me State yesterday, a Democrat won a state Senate special election in ways that were hard to predict in advance. The Kansas City Star reported:
Democratic Rep. Lauren Arthur prevailed by a double-digit margin over Republican Rep. Kevin Corlew in a special election for a state Senate seat Tuesday night.
Republicans won’t risk losing control of the Missouri Senate on Tuesday, but Arthur’s victory in a Northland special election could signal the GOP’s grasp on Jefferson City has weakened after months of drama surrounding former Gov. Eric Greitens.
Arthur, a former teacher from Kansas City, beat Corlew with 59.6 percent to 40.3 percent of the vote to win the special election for Missouri’s 17th Senate district. She’s the first Democrat to hold the seat in more than a decade.
This is an area that Donald Trump won by five points in his election, but where the Republican candidate yesterday lost by nearly 20 points.
For those keeping score, this was the 42nd state legislative seat Democrats have flipped from “red” to “blue” in the Trump era. The party has been on a hot streak in these special elections, and that streak clearly continued yesterday.
The Kansas City Star quoted a Missouri Republican consultant, who asked for anonymity to speak candidly, who said last night that “Every suburban Republican should be petrified tonight. This devastating loss signals they could lose this fall.” |
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mac
Joined: 07 Mar 1999
Posts: 17747
Location: Berkeley, California
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| Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 2:34 pm Post subject: |
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Interesting.
Greg Sargent
June 7 at 10:35 AM
| Quote: | THE MORNING PLUM:
Because so many of us got it wrong in 2016, we often adopt a kind of defensive crouch as we interpret the current political moment. We constantly ask whether we’re missing something about President Trump — maybe his abysmally low numbers don’t mean what they ordinarily should; maybe the normal rules of midterm elections really won’t apply this time, because Trump is spreading so much chaos that nothing is conventional anymore. Etc., etc.
But what if the normal rules are on track to holding? What if Trump, despite his small uptick in the polls, really is deeply unpopular, and a backlash against Trump really is the driving factor in our politics right now, just as a backlash against previous presidents drove previous midterm waves enjoyed by the opposition?
A new NBC News-Wall Street Journal poll suggests this might be the case. It finds that Democrats lead among registered voters nationally in the House generic ballot matchup by 50 percent to 40 percent.
But even more tellingly, the poll finds that by a whopping margin of 48-23, voters are more likely to support a congressional candidate who promises to be a check on Trump. And by 53-31, they are less likely to vote for a candidate who has supported Trump’s positions more than 90 percent of the time.
These numbers get more striking when you look at how they break down in all of the House districts that the Cook Political Report designates as competitive. According to the good folks at NBC, who sent over these numbers:
By 52-19, voters in competitive House districts are more likely to support a congressional candidate who promises to be a check on Trump.
By 55-28, voters in competitive House districts are more likely to support a congressional candidate who has opposed Trump most of the time.
It should be noted that the vast, vast majority of these seats are held by Republicans. The seats that this poll designates as competitive are the ones that Cook Political Report rates as Toss Ups, Lean Democratic and Lean Republican. Cook puts 25 seats in the Toss Up categories — 23 GOP-held, and two held by Democrats. Cook puts 27 in the Lean Republican category and seven in the Lean Democratic category — and of that 34, 31 are held by Republicans.
And so, in a whole lot of competitive seats mostly held by Republicans, majorities are more likely to vote for the candidate who will act as a check on Trump and will oppose him on most of his policies.
The poll’s other findings underscore the point. Nationally, Democrats enjoy a large enthusiasm gap: 63 percent of them are extremely interested in the midterms, while among Republicans, that number is only 47 percent. And John Harwood brings us this breakdown of the generic ballot matchup:
Democrats have built that edge on their leads among independents (7 percentage points), voters under 35 (20 points), white college graduates (24 points), Latinos (24 points), and African-Americans (81 points). Republicans retain a narrow edge among whites (3 points) and a large one among white men who have not graduated from college (37 points).
That 24-point edge among white college graduates is striking, and these numbers comport with the story we had been seeing before the generic ballot numbers tightened: Trump has unleashed a large backlash among college-educated whites and younger and more diverse voters — that is, on the other side of the cultural divide from the aging, blue-collar and rural whites that Trump and Republicans hope will be energized enough to allow them to hold the House. If the backlash to Trump is holding, that suggests the conventional rules may hold as well.
It is true that Trump’s approval has ticked up; the new NBC poll has it at 44 percent. But in a way, this underscores the point: That is not far off the approval suffered by other presidents who were hit by wave elections. (Trump is mired closer to 41 percent in the polling averages.) It is also true that the generic ballot has tightened dramatically, and that this is a cause for serious concern. But the FiveThirtyEight average of polls shows that the generic matchup is widening again and it’s now more than seven points. It is possible — no guarantees, but possible — that the NBC poll previews a further widening.
None of this is to predict a Democratic takeover of the House. There could be a wave and Dems could still fall short, due to structural disadvantages and the Democrats’ 23-seat deficit. As Nate Cohn notes, the current environment still suggests a wave, and this still means the battle for the House is roughly a toss-up.
Maybe this doesn’t have to be complicated
But we should not let ourselves get thrown off by the idea that Trump has necessarily rendered all the old rules inoperative. Pundits keep saying Trump is winning the public battle over special counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s investigation, even though majorities side with Mueller, simply because he has convinced Republicans it is a witch hunt, as if that wasn’t inevitable. Pundits keep saying the tightening generic ballot match-up must show that there’s something uniquely challenging about opposing Trump — there are so many objectionable things about him, that it is easy to get baited into overreach, as if attacking his authoritarianism is somehow dangerous.
But perhaps we shouldn’t overreact to the downturn for Dems in the generic House numbers. Perhaps this doesn’t have to be complicated: Trump and his policies are deeply unpopular. Voters know he’s corrupt and authoritarian — those things are two sides of the same coin. They know he lies nonstop and is a racist and has a dangerously destructive temperament. They don’t know the details about the Russia probe, but they think it is legitimately grounded in the rule of law and is investigating genuinely important allegations, they think it will probably produce revelations of wrongdoing and they think Trump is trying to obstruct it. They want a check on Trump’s corruption, policies and temperament — his racist and authoritarian tendencies included. There’s no need for Democrats to shy away from presenting themselves as that check, and by all indications, they aren’t. |
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real-human
Joined: 02 Jul 2011
Posts: 14874
Location: on earth
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| Posted: Thu Jun 07, 2018 11:10 pm Post subject: |
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/m/01533ad5-dfd8-3d62-92a5-6c73ba417cf9/ss_republicans%E2%80%99-laser-focus-on.html
Republicans’ laser focus on tax reform sparks backlash from midterm voters
| Quote: | | CLEVELAND, OHIO — When Katie Jones realized Rep. Jim Renacci (R-OH) was going to be the Republican Senate nominee in her state, she said she felt “sick.” Jones has been a community activist in Medina County, Ohio since 2011, mainly fighting a proposed pipeline in her community. That same year, Renacci “unfortunately,” as Jones put it, took office as her representative. Now, Jones says she’s supporting Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) as he runs for reelection — and one thing animating her decision to back Brown is Renacci’s support for the recently-passed Republican tax overhaul. “We haven’t seen any benefits of it,” Jones told ThinkProgress. “The benefits are for the one percent. The middle class, |
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techno900
Joined: 28 Mar 2001
Posts: 4161
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| Posted: Fri Jun 08, 2018 8:26 am Post subject: |
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Just so the liberals are in the know, since the liberal media isn't likely to mention this story:
| Quote: | Fox News Channel rated No. 1 in cable news for past 16 years, says Nielsen Media Research
By Jennifer Harper - The Washington Times - Tuesday, April 3, 2018
Fox News Channel continues to reign supreme in the cable news realm, rated the top cable news network in both daytime and prime-time viewing for 65 consecutive “quarters” — or over 16 years, according to Nielsen Media Research numbers released Tuesday.
“Hannity” is the most watched cable news program of all, averaging an audience of 3.2 million, followed by MSNBC’s “Rachel Maddow Show” with 2.9 million.
Three more Fox News shows round out the top five in the field: “Tucker Carlson Tonight,” “The Ingraham Angle” and “Special Report with Bret Baier” — which each average between 2.5 million and 2.9 million viewers.
Nielsen numbers show that Fox News average about 1.4 million viewers during the day, compared to 1 million for MSNBC and 713,000 for CNN. In prime time, Fox News draws 2.5 million, while MSNBC garners 1.8 million and CNN 985,000.
Additionally, Fox News claimed 14 of the top 20 cable news programs in total viewers during the day.
In the meantime, Fox Business Network also remains the top-rated business network on television for the sixth consecutive quarter — or the last 18 months, according to Nielsen.
The network had six of the top seven business programs on cable, and continues to outpace CNBC in total viewers, with an audience number that is 19 percent ahead of its rival. |
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mat-ty
Joined: 07 Jul 2007
Posts: 7850
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| Posted: Fri Jun 08, 2018 9:22 am Post subject: |
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| techno900 wrote: | Just so the liberals are in the know, since the liberal media isn't likely to mention this story:
| Quote: | Fox News Channel rated No. 1 in cable news for past 16 years, says Nielsen Media Research
By Jennifer Harper - The Washington Times - Tuesday, April 3, 2018
Fox News Channel continues to reign supreme in the cable news realm, rated the top cable news network in both daytime and prime-time viewing for 65 consecutive “quarters” — or over 16 years, according to Nielsen Media Research numbers released Tuesday.
“Hannity” is the most watched cable news program of all, averaging an audience of 3.2 million, followed by MSNBC’s “Rachel Maddow Show” with 2.9 million.
Three more Fox News shows round out the top five in the field: “Tucker Carlson Tonight,” “The Ingraham Angle” and “Special Report with Bret Baier” — which each average between 2.5 million and 2.9 million viewers.
Nielsen numbers show that Fox News average about 1.4 million viewers during the day, compared to 1 million for MSNBC and 713,000 for CNN. In prime time, Fox News draws 2.5 million, while MSNBC garners 1.8 million and CNN 985,000.
Additionally, Fox News claimed 14 of the top 20 cable news programs in total viewers during the day.
In the meantime, Fox Business Network also remains the top-rated business network on television for the sixth consecutive quarter — or the last 18 months, according to Nielsen.
The network had six of the top seven business programs on cable, and continues to outpace CNBC in total viewers, with an audience number that is 19 percent ahead of its rival. |
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And the liberals despise FOX because they cover the news the others guys ignore. Do they lean right ...yes. Do they get everything right...no. Do they drag out some issue...yes. All that said they are head and shoulders better than CNN, OR MSNBC. |
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real-human
Joined: 02 Jul 2011
Posts: 14874
Location: on earth
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| Posted: Fri Jun 08, 2018 9:47 am Post subject: |
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| mat-ty wrote: | | techno900 wrote: | Just so the liberals are in the know, since the liberal media isn't likely to mention this story:
| Quote: | Fox News Channel rated No. 1 in cable news for past 16 years, says Nielsen Media Research
By Jennifer Harper - The Washington Times - Tuesday, April 3, 2018
Fox News Channel continues to reign supreme in the cable news realm, rated the top cable news network in both daytime and prime-time viewing for 65 consecutive “quarters” — or over 16 years, according to Nielsen Media Research numbers released Tuesday.
“Hannity” is the most watched cable news program of all, averaging an audience of 3.2 million, followed by MSNBC’s “Rachel Maddow Show” with 2.9 million.
Three more Fox News shows round out the top five in the field: “Tucker Carlson Tonight,” “The Ingraham Angle” and “Special Report with Bret Baier” — which each average between 2.5 million and 2.9 million viewers.
Nielsen numbers show that Fox News average about 1.4 million viewers during the day, compared to 1 million for MSNBC and 713,000 for CNN. In prime time, Fox News draws 2.5 million, while MSNBC garners 1.8 million and CNN 985,000.
Additionally, Fox News claimed 14 of the top 20 cable news programs in total viewers during the day.
In the meantime, Fox Business Network also remains the top-rated business network on television for the sixth consecutive quarter — or the last 18 months, according to Nielsen.
The network had six of the top seven business programs on cable, and continues to outpace CNBC in total viewers, with an audience number that is 19 percent ahead of its rival. |
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And the liberals despise FOX because they cover the news the others guys ignore. Do they lean right ...yes. Do they get everything right...no. Do they drag out some issue...yes. All that said they are head and shoulders better than CNN, OR MSNBC. |
nope despised because they do not fire people for putting out lies and do not challenge people who come on the show and lie as guests. And because they have been involved from the top of sexual abuse time and time again. The owner should be fired.
The standard of the right was the removal of Dan Rather for telling the truth about George Bush 2. Again people lost their jobs and livelihoods because they told the truth about Bush national Guard. To date no one has been able to prove this items in the memos were not accurate. and to have made up those issues that several people remember as accurate id impossible and the timeline was also accurate. Who could have made up such events that people did remember? again people were fired because it was aired to early? again it was true. Where fox airs things all the time that are false and no firings. Did they allow people on about pizzagate for example?
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real-human
Joined: 02 Jul 2011
Posts: 14874
Location: on earth
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| Posted: Wed Jun 13, 2018 1:15 pm Post subject: |
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the trump effect still there... can it hold till November... these were with the knowledge of the north Korea, but without the knowledge of the NK giveawy and trump wanting russia in the G8, and trump making things worse with the G6.
http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/after-wisconsins-walker-tried-block-election-dems-flip-gop-seat?cid=eml_mra_20180613
After Wisconsin’s Walker tried to block election, Dems flip a GOP seat
06/13/18 08:40 AM
By Steve Benen
| Quote: | In January, a Democratic candidate won a state Senate special election in a district that Donald Trump won by 17 points, defeating a Republican who enjoyed considerable support from the party and its far-right allies. Three months later, a liberal judge easily won a seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court for the first time in 23 years.
Against this backdrop, when two state legislative seats became vacant in the Badger State, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) came up with a plan to prevent his party from suffering more setbacks: he simply didn’t schedule special elections.
Eric Holder’s National Democratic Redistricting Committee filed suit, and a judge ruled in March that the Republican governor had to allow voters to fill the vacancies.
We now know Walker was right to worry. The Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel reported overnight:
Wisconsin Democrats came one step closer to gaining control of the state Senate by picking up a seat held by Republicans for more than 40 years, while the GOP held on to an Assembly seat in a pair of special elections Tuesday.
Caleb Frostman topped Rep. Andre Jacque in the 1st Senate District and Jon Plumer defeated Ann Groves Lloyd in the 42nd Assembly District.
Frostman will be the first Democrat to represent the northeast Wisconsin district since the 1970s – a win Democrats are hailing as more evidence of a so-called blue wave ready to flip more Republican-held seats in elections later this year.
The Democratic victory came in a district Donald Trump won by 17 points during his successful presidential bid.
Or as Corey Lewandowski, Donald Trump’s former campaign manager, put it a few months ago, Democrats are “winning elections in places where they shouldn’t be.”
This is the 43rd state legislative seat Democrats have flipped from “red” to “blue” since Trump’s inauguration.
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MalibuGuru
Joined: 11 Nov 1993
Posts: 9299
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| Posted: Wed Jun 13, 2018 10:15 pm Post subject: |
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| Go ahead |
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swchandler
Joined: 08 Nov 1993
Posts: 10588
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| Posted: Wed Jun 13, 2018 10:44 pm Post subject: |
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| Bard, it's hard to believe that you searched somewhere for that image. |
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real-human
Joined: 02 Jul 2011
Posts: 14874
Location: on earth
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| Posted: Wed Jun 13, 2018 10:44 pm Post subject: |
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| MalibuGuru wrote: | | Go ahead |
malibu barfie pukes out more stench russian troll farm....
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