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3rd forecast quality (Feedback button doesn't work or me)

 
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jpf18



Joined: 13 Aug 2000
Posts: 261
Location: San Francisco

PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2019 11:08 pm    Post subject: 3rd forecast quality (Feedback button doesn't work or me) Reply with quote

3rd Ave today.
Hi Mike,
There was no shortage of unhappy campers today discussing the quality of forecasting for 3rd (Coyote by extension) this season. That frustration blew over some today, as you totally missed the mid twenties day today. You may hear from others tonight as well. FWIW, from what I can tell following things for a while, it's pretty obvious you're basically doing a copy-paste job off of the model tables with no significant meteorological review, safe for canned comments on the inside if an eddy spins up or gusty conditions early in the season in post-frontal situations. 3rd is one of the main sailing/kiting sites in the Bay Area, it deserves more attention.
Today's forecasting aside, I think you and the team generally are doing a good job, but there's always room for improvement.
JP
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surfskimd



Joined: 08 May 1997
Posts: 35

PostPosted: Sat Jul 13, 2019 3:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's really been laughable lately. At 11.30 am you update the third avenue post stating the high for the late afternoon when the wind picks up will be 17,
WHEN IT"S ALREADY BLOWING 20 , and has been blowing 16 plus for the last 2 hours. It goes up to 27 gusting 33, all completely oblivious to your 11.30 update. Maybe look at the current conditions before you copy and paste your updates
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allen



Joined: 13 Aug 1996
Posts: 233

PostPosted: Mon Jul 15, 2019 1:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

There is nothing more useless than the 11:30 Update. Why have it? We have the sensor data; we can read the Point Vicente data and see the eddy is raging while the 11:30 update completely ignores the significant eddy and says "sea breezes at Cabrillo are expected to build as forecast".
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