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Best East Bay wind prediction
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andydavis



Joined: 11 Apr 1999
Posts: 319
Location: Point Isabel

PostPosted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 9:15 am    Post subject: wind indicator Reply with quote

7:00 am: "North & East Bay: Berkeley seeing the upper teens but see hedge above. Pt. Isabel mid teens"

that seems pretty clear, right? In spite of the obfuscatory hedge, no wind. I will definitely ride my bike to work.
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johnl



Joined: 05 Jun 1994
Posts: 1330
Location: Hood River OR

PostPosted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 10:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks a lot Tim. You could have called me Sad I was sitting around watching Judge Judy.......
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johnnyo



Joined: 16 Mar 1999
Posts: 29

PostPosted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 11:20 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think the biggest lesson learned here is that kids out there are actually using condoms! Good to know.
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victor



Joined: 03 Aug 1998
Posts: 581

PostPosted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 11:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

big wind @ tomales doesn't necessarily mean r&g will happen. if there is a sw/nw battle going on r&g can lose or it might come in very late.

also check the tide before you make the trip. you'll need at least 2'

lately it might be advisable to wear a hazmat suit and a have bathtub full of disinfectant for afterwards. marin sewer treatment plant is about 200 yards upwind of the launch. they say MOST of it is treated before they let it out.
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faradroka1



Joined: 14 May 2001
Posts: 216
Location: East Bay

PostPosted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 11:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

the best "remote forecasters" are:

berkeley: http://www.berkeleycam.net/
crissy: http://cams.exploratorium.edu:8010/
3rd ave: http://home.comcast.net/~jhodgesatmb/thirdavecam.html
alameda: http://www.kitewindsurf.com/store/windcam.aspx
sherman: (down for now) http://www.rvwa.com/webcam.htm

now we just need one at rod&todd or lackspur and we are set.

forecasts are for losers. c'mon, 21st century and we don't have webcams at each site? Plus, you take your gear EVERY day, i would be one big ball of angry if I tried to guess at 7am what it was going to be at 3pm.
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kevinkan



Joined: 07 Jun 2001
Posts: 1661
Location: San Francisco

PostPosted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 11:47 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

That's why Rod & Gun is actually called Rotten Guts
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andydavis



Joined: 11 Apr 1999
Posts: 319
Location: Point Isabel

PostPosted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 12:10 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

faradroka1 wrote:
the best "remote forecasters" are:

berkeley: http://www.berkeleycam.net/
...forecasts are for losers.


The cams are great, but are really a hindcast or a condition indicator, not forecasters. Casey Stengel said: "Never make predictions, especially about the future."

I should just drive my truck every day from Memorial Day to Labor Day, but:
I don't like to waste the gas
My ride is beautiful
If I don't, I can go for days with no exercise.

Yeah, I shouldn't look at the forecasts at all...they are just misleading.
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boggsman1



Joined: 24 Jun 2002
Posts: 9120
Location: at a computer

PostPosted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 12:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Two Things: STOP brow beating the forecasters! you all have been windsurfering for a a zillion years, Im sure you can figure it out yourself.
Secondly , Rod and Gun is a stinky craphole , immediately downwind of where all of Marin's crappers empty out.

Boggsman
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andydavis



Joined: 11 Apr 1999
Posts: 319
Location: Point Isabel

PostPosted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 1:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

boggsman1 wrote:
Two Things: STOP brow beating the forecasters! Boggsman


Oh yeah, two things:
1) they're "predictions" are worse than useless
2) it's fun
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boggsman1



Joined: 24 Jun 2002
Posts: 9120
Location: at a computer

PostPosted: Thu Jun 05, 2008 1:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Andy ,I agree with your rap. My favorite forecast "funny" is when they change the forcast after the fact, effectively changing the forecast to a pastcast.
Boggsman
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