Forecasts

wandrian · Joined: 29 May 2008 Posts: 22

Just wondering when the written forecasts are going to start again?

Also why is the Computer Forecast Model Data so off? It totally missed the wind at Berkeley yesterday and today it says 8 knots at 4pm, but the sensor is reading 22 knots!!!!

Makes me wonder what the subscription pays for! Any info or views on a better way of predicting the wind?

martyrosse · Joined: 10 Apr 2000 Posts: 118

I think the human forecasts start April 1.

Local winds are probably pretty tough to model. I've found those Meteogram forecasts to be a little bit useful for Crissy, and actually have been impressed with them in terms of finding out when a wind event is coming when the NOAA isn't predicting it yet. But, for Crissy at least, the numbers need translation-- 30 knots on the meteogram means 20-25 at the beach.

In any case, I use both NOAA and the Meteogram. The NOAA link is below. Lots of people seem to like the "M5 model." Not sure what/where it is, but I'm sure you can Google it.

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mtr/

wandrian · Joined: 29 May 2008 Posts: 22

Thanks for the tip!

mtnview · Joined: 02 Jul 2002 Posts: 53

I'll be out of town for a couple of weeks, so you're guaranteed good wind every day until I'm back on the 7th.

- Dave

martyrosse · Joined: 10 Apr 2000 Posts: 118

According to a new note on the Daily Discussion page, forecasts start tomorrow, Tuesday, March 27.

swchandler · Joined: 08 Nov 1993 Posts: 10588

Actually March 27 is Friday.

martyrosse · Joined: 10 Apr 2000 Posts: 118

Wow...not sure where Tuesday came from. Thanks.

sergem · Joined: 24 Oct 2003 Posts: 398

Forecasts are here!

Make sure to click "show" on the metereologist forecasts section in your MyIW if you had it collapsed during winter.

isobars · Joined: 12 Dec 1999 Posts: 20935

I don't even look at any forecasts until the river temp hits 45 degrees. It saves me a whole winter of useless angst.

Two more degrees plus a day hitting 60.

Mike \m/

capetonian · Joined: 11 Aug 2006 Posts: 1197 Location: Florida

When do the Socal forecasts start? Yesterday (3/28/09) was awesome at Cabrillo, but the model tables and NOAA had no inkling of any wind in the forecast.