| View previous topic :: View next topic |
| Author |
Message |
Brian.bigfella@gmail.com
Joined: 11 Jun 2012
Posts: 127
|
 Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2016 10:51 am Post subject: |
 |
|
When that picture was taken the lake elevation was 2530.30, as of this morning it's 2530.56. So about 2" higher than that picture.
Here's the kicker though. Last year the lake was already dropping and the snowpack was only 10% of normal. As of this morning the lake is rising (about 3" a day) and the snowpack is about 75% normal. Not a drought buster year, but much better than the last two years. I'll save you the math, but by my very rudimentary calculations the elevation will peak around 2555, which is quite good. Of course, there are a million variables which can affect that.
I'd say it will be very good sailing from mid-April until about the end of June.
|
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
jp5
Joined: 19 May 1998
Posts: 3394
Location: OnUr6
|
| Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2016 1:24 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| And then there is the damn dam refurb scheduled for 2017 where they will only let the water level go so high.
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
superkraut
Joined: 18 Mar 2001
Posts: 346
|
| Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2016 3:52 pm Post subject: |
|
|
we have not quite reached the 2015 high water mark - just a few more inches to go, Brian!
Everybody: I was going to post situation report and prognostications after this past weekend's series of storms, but those fizzled in our parts. However, more medium-sized ones appear on the way for later this week, so I am going to hold off just a few more days
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
superkraut
Joined: 18 Mar 2001
Posts: 346
|
| Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2016 3:56 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| jpbassman wrote: | | And then there is the damn dam refurb scheduled for 2017 where they will only let the water level go so high. |
and this is one of those statements that keep folks away unnecessarily! yes, there is a water limit during construction. Its the same as what has been in place ever since they deemed our dams at risk. It is at 2585ft elevation, i.e. 20ft below crest, or a whopping 55ft above where we are today.
What a magnificent lake we have at 2585ft elevation!!
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
superkraut
Joined: 18 Mar 2001
Posts: 346
|
| Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2016 4:06 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| Brian.bigfella@gmail.com wrote: | When that picture was taken the lake elevation was 2530.30, as of this morning it's 2530.56. So about 2" higher than that picture.
As of this morning the lake is rising (about 3" a day) and the snowpack is about 75% normal. Not a drought buster year, but much better than the last two years. I'll save you the math, but by my very rudimentary calculations the elevation will peak around 2555, which is quite good. Of course, there are a million variables which can affect that.
I'd say it will be very good sailing from mid-April until about the end of June. |
the problem with trying to estimate how much of this year's snow bonanza will be retained in our lake is that we are up against the water allocation to the SCE power plant at the mouth of the canyon. They are entitled to the first 412cfs coming in at Kernville - but have thankfully only taken about 325 recently. As long as there are no dramatic weather events, and snow run-off comes in with only modest flows, a very high percentage will be let straight out to the power plant - this is what happened these past couple of years, where we frittered away what little we had stashed in the mountains. What we need are huge downpours, or impressive hot spells, to bring down 1000s of cfs - then we could hang on to a much larger percentage
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
jp5
Joined: 19 May 1998
Posts: 3394
Location: OnUr6
|
| Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2016 5:38 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| superkraut wrote: | | jpbassman wrote: | | And then there is the damn dam refurb scheduled for 2017 where they will only let the water level go so high. |
and this is one of those statements that keep folks away unnecessarily! yes, there is a water limit during construction. Its the same as what has been in place ever since they deemed our dams at risk. It is at 2585ft elevation, i.e. 20ft below crest, or a whopping 55ft above where we are today.
What a magnificent lake we have at 2585ft elevation!! |
Awesome! One less thing to worry about.
Are there any Isabella sailors living in Tehachapi?
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
superkraut
Joined: 18 Mar 2001
Posts: 346
|
| Posted: Tue Mar 08, 2016 6:01 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| jpbassman wrote: |
Are there any Isabella sailors living in Tehachapi? |
yes, Gorm, the Dane, who is the only windsurfer currently to keep me company (pic taken last Friday - what a fab sesh we had!!))
| Description: |
|
| Filesize: |
138.35 KB |
| Viewed: |
10047 Time(s) |
|
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
jp5
Joined: 19 May 1998
Posts: 3394
Location: OnUr6
|
| Posted: Wed Mar 09, 2016 10:52 am Post subject: |
|
|
| The last time I sailed Isabella in March there were patches of snow on the ground and my feet froze, even with booties. It looks much warmer than that in your picture!
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
superkraut
Joined: 18 Mar 2001
Posts: 346
|
| Posted: Wed Mar 09, 2016 12:26 pm Post subject: |
|
|
it was - your Tehachapi weather will be a pretty good guide for what we have here 
(I am in a 3/2 suit with 2mm booties, have in the depth of winter added Sealskin socks and beany, but been comfy without recently)
btw, I'll pm you Gorm's email addy in a sec
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
Goodwind
Joined: 06 May 2005
Posts: 323
Location: On water
|
|
| Back to top |
|
|
|
|
You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot vote in polls in this forum
You can attach files in this forum
You can download files in this forum
|
|
|
Search
Profile
Log in to check your private messages
Register
