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NC12 to Hatteras flooding
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boardsurfr



Joined: 23 Aug 2001
Posts: 1266

PostPosted: Wed Apr 29, 2015 9:00 am    Post subject: NC12 to Hatteras flooding Reply with quote

Does anyone have an idea what the chances are that NC12 will flood this week? The forecast predicts 40+ mph NW winds. If the direction was NE, I'd bet we'd see at least some flooding, but what about NW? The waves may still get high, and the road is darn close to the ocean at S curves.

We're due to drive down for ABK camp on Saturday, but could possibly leave tomorrow.
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jpeter



Joined: 18 Oct 2009
Posts: 353

PostPosted: Wed Apr 29, 2015 11:57 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

My brother lost his car 20 years ago on a spring trip. 90mph west wind in the back side of a march blizzard pushed all the water out of the sound over the island. Glad I missed that year. 40 doesn't sound too bad.

Jay
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U2U2U2



Joined: 06 Jul 2001
Posts: 5467
Location: Shipsterns Bluff, Tasmania. Colorado

PostPosted: Wed Apr 29, 2015 3:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The chance of route 12 flooding is about the same as being hit by a meteor, please find something else to be an issue.

Please bring lobsters.

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btbill



Joined: 05 Jun 2002
Posts: 236

PostPosted: Wed Apr 29, 2015 4:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

U2U2U2 wrote:
The chance of route 12 flooding is about the same as being hit by a meteor, please find something else to be an issue.

Please bring lobsters.


LOL, I was hit by a "Hattera Meteor" about 5 yrs ago during a strong W wind where sound water was just below the door of my old '89 4runner driving from N Avon through to Oregon Inlet! Took about 6 hrs to drive that distance at about 3 mph! Felt bad for the guy in his $95,000 Mercedes who was in the same situation as me...
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U2U2U2



Joined: 06 Jul 2001
Posts: 5467
Location: Shipsterns Bluff, Tasmania. Colorado

PostPosted: Wed Apr 29, 2015 5:13 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

You felt bad for a guy in a Mercedes...

It's a no wind day, it's a Marguarita day, my guests from Wellesley and Hingham make a mind numbing concoction ..
But for the forecast we can sleep in tomorrow.

North, north east wind next 3 days, it's magic here in Frisco.

PS bring lobster and silver Patron

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boardsurfr



Joined: 23 Aug 2001
Posts: 1266

PostPosted: Wed Apr 29, 2015 8:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I have had a couple of near misses with the NC12 meteor, too. IIRC, there also was some minor road flooding at least once during the time we were down there. The attached image from the NC12 Facebook site does not inspire confidence. And then, there is the idea of actually sailing in 30-35 mph NNE winds...


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fox



Joined: 09 Sep 1997
Posts: 133
Location: Pine Point, Maine

PostPosted: Thu Apr 30, 2015 5:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Lobsters? Go to Buxton seafood and get some blue crab!
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rswabsin



Joined: 14 May 2000
Posts: 444
Location: New Jersey

PostPosted: Thu Apr 30, 2015 6:27 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

If in doubt, head down a day earlier and stay at one of the cheap motels in Buxton - it eliminates the mental stress factor. Also, if you're coming down over the Chesapeake Bay Bridge/Tunnel - watch the wind forecast for that area - they won't allow vehicles with car top carriers (with boards) over the bridge if winds a gusting over 25-30 mph. And that is a major detour if you have to go inland to get around the bridge.

Rob
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U2U2U2



Joined: 06 Jul 2001
Posts: 5467
Location: Shipsterns Bluff, Tasmania. Colorado

PostPosted: Thu Apr 30, 2015 7:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Is someone really serious about flooding ? Why ?

If all else fails take the ferry.

Buxton seafood is kinda far1.5 mile away. Afraid to drive as it may flood.

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boardsurfr



Joined: 23 Aug 2001
Posts: 1266

PostPosted: Thu Apr 30, 2015 10:20 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

U2U2U2 wrote:
Is someone really serious about flooding ? Why ?

Because flooding can cause pretty substantial delays, and even road closures.

And because it's much more likely than being hit by a meteor. NC12 was flooded at least 7 times in 2014, and closed due to flooding at least twice.

And because at least one of the computer models has predicted wind above 40 mph at about the same time as high tide tomorrow evening. Some runs had NNE-NE winds, others NW, so there seems to be a lot of uncertainly in the prediction.

rswabsin wrote:
If in doubt, head down a day earlier

That was the idea (actually, 2 days earlier to get there before the wind). Avoids any potential problems and ferry rides, and may even give us a couple of decent sailing days. The forecast looks a bit weak after Saturday.
Thanks for the warning about the bridge, Rob - we got caught there once, so we always check now.



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