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isobars



Joined: 12 Dec 1999
Posts: 18692

PostPosted: Thu Jul 27, 2017 9:32 am    Post subject: We're paying money for THIS? Reply with quote

Is this just a Gorge thing, or is it universal?

"Solid, gusty westerly push for the Corridor eastward.

7AM UPDATE: yada yada yada

Oregon Coast: yada

Lower Columbia/Western Gorge: Yada.

Corridor: yada

Near East: yada

East (Celilo to Port Kelley): yada ... but check back in the morning."

Um ... it IS morning (7:28 ) But as happens VERY often, the update crew just reprints old text and numerical charts without actually updating them, leaving big contradictions between their words and their numbers.

C'mon, guys ... do I spend a day and $70 on gasoline on this self-contradictory forecast or just ignore it and go with the many other forecasts that were actually updated this morning?
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wynsurfer



Joined: 24 Aug 2007
Posts: 880

PostPosted: Sat Jul 29, 2017 4:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I would'nt pay a dime for iwindsurf forecasts or anything else they offer for that matter. Like paying a gypsy for your fortune. I gave up long ago chasing the wind based on these forecasts only to be skunked more often than not.

No confidence. With good reason.
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fxop



Joined: 13 Jun 1998
Posts: 151

PostPosted: Sat Jul 29, 2017 6:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Here in SF Bay we get what appear to be good faith forecasts on about 10 different micro-climates. I especially like Mike Godsey's forecasts. Our gridlock is getting worse and worse, and it helps to have a forward view of the cycle to plan your driving.

fxop
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jingebritsen



Joined: 21 Aug 2002
Posts: 3258

PostPosted: Sun Jul 30, 2017 12:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

forecasts are no better than statistics.

sensors? priceless

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grantmac017



Joined: 04 Aug 2016
Posts: 557

PostPosted: Sun Jul 30, 2017 7:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

If I only sailed here when the forecast or sensors said there was wind my gear would leave storage once a month in the summer.
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isobars



Joined: 12 Dec 1999
Posts: 18692

PostPosted: Mon Jul 31, 2017 9:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

IIRC, "Here" for you is the Seattle area. Since the Gorge is just a few hours away, I'd think the forecasts and sometimes current conditions would be of great use. We have guys coming from Spokane for one-day trips. It's roughly the same distance, and unless the forecast is a bust, they consider it worth the trip. Of course, that depends on which forecasts one uses and on which one happens to be right that day.
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grantmac017



Joined: 04 Aug 2016
Posts: 557

PostPosted: Mon Jul 31, 2017 8:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm 2 hours (no traffic) north of Seattle. "Day of" forecasts for the gorge are useless to trip plan.
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DanWeiss



Joined: 24 Jun 2008
Posts: 2246
Location: Connecticut, USA

PostPosted: Wed Aug 02, 2017 1:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I use the Pro Meteorlogical Forecast for Southern Massachusetts and find them very reliable if somewhat conservative. Thatís an error I find quite acceptable.
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